Methodology

Coming soon. This section will document the publicly available social, economic, and political data sources used to calculate the Revolution Index score. Sources will include economic indicators, social sentiment measures, institutional trust metrics, and political polarization data.

Coming soon. This section will explain the modeling methodology — how raw data signals are transformed into normalized factor scores, and the theoretical framework behind the composite index. The approach draws on historical patterns of political instability and structural vulnerability indicators.

Coming soon. This section will detail how individual factor scores are weighted and combined into the composite 0–100 Revolution Index score. It will cover the weighting methodology, zone threshold definitions (Stable, Elevated Tension, Crisis Territory, Revolution Territory), and how weights may be adjusted as the model evolves.

Coming soon. This section will candidly address known limitations of the model and score, including data availability gaps, model assumptions, the inherent difficulty of quantifying complex political dynamics, and why this index should be understood as one analytical lens among many — not a definitive prediction.