Economic Stress
↓ 60 /100
30% wt
30-day trend
Measures economic pressures that academic research links to political instability, including wage stagnation, inequality, unemployment, inflation, housing costs, and financial system stress.
Revolution Index Dashboard
The Revolution Index
America Sits at 55
The composite instability score places the United States in Crisis Territory , a range historically associated with severe political instability.
Composite score across five structural indicators, benchmarked against historical revolutions.
Historical Trend
Contributing Factors
Political Polarization
→ 78 /100
22% wt
30-day trend
Tracks partisan division at both elite (congressional voting) and mass (public attitudes) levels, including affective polarization and anti-system sentiment.
Institutional Quality
→ 39 /100
20% wt
30-day trend
Monitors the health of democratic institutions including judicial independence, legislative constraints on executive power, electoral integrity, and freedom of expression.
Social Mobilization
↓ 67 /100
18% wt
30-day trend
Measures collective action capacity and social trust, including protest activity, organizational density, government trust, and democratic commitment.
Information & Media
→ 97 /100
10% wt
30-day trend
Tracks media trust levels and partisan media consumption gaps that academic research associates with democratic resilience.
Note: The Revolution Index is derived from 41 publicly available indicators from sources including FRED, V-Dem, VoteView, ANES, and ACLED across five structural domains. It is not a prediction of future events, a call to action, or a statement of political advocacy. The score reflects historical patterns and structural conditions. It does not forecast specific outcomes.
About
The Revolution Index uses a five-model scoring ensemble covering Economic Stress, Political Polarization, Institutional Quality, Social Mobilization, and Information & Media. The 41 input variables are combined into a calibrated 0-100 composite score with bootstrap confidence intervals (n=1,000). This is a research and transparency tool, not a political statement. For details on how the score is constructed, see the Methodology page.